Respondents to the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey overwhelmingly expect global economies to fall into recession either later this year or sometime in 2024.
Press Releases
IACPM Members Forecast Continued Global Credit Deterioration
Respondents to the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey point to several major concerns in forecasting continued global credit deterioration and the strong possibility for a recession by the end of the year.
IACPM Credit Outlook Survey Strongly Forecasts Rising Corporate Defaults Globally Over the Next 12 Months; No Region Will Be Spared; Timing Remains Elusive
Respondents to the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey overwhelmingly forecast rising corporate defaults globally over the next 12 months.
Global Credit Conditions Have Started to Deteriorate But Latest IACPM Forecast Sees Even More Defaults and Wider Credit Spreads Ahead in the Face of Stubborn Inflation and Rising Interest Rates
Even as credit conditions have begun to deteriorate globally, the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey forecasts even higher defaults and wider credit spreads in the months ahead.
Global Recession Risk High As Latest IACPM Credit Outlook Forecasts Rising Defaults and Wider Credit Spreads
Members of the International Association of Credit Portfolio Managers responding to the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey forecast rising credit defaults globally.
Latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey Forecast Rising Defaults and Wider Credit Spreads
Increased defaults will be driven by continued expectations for higher inflation and rising interest rates as well as supply chain issues.
Rising Inflation, Higher Interest Rates Prompt Forecasts of Wider Credit Spreads and Higher Defaults
A confluence of higher inflation, rising interest rates, supply chain issues and labor shortages have prompted respondents to the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey to forecast wider credit spreads over the next three months.
Latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey Forecasts Worsening Credit Conditions
Survey respondents to the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey are modestly less optimistic about future credit conditions.
Default Fears Fade Globally as Government Stimulus Floods Economy
While the amount of stimulus has been critical in providing an underpinning for businesses, as well as consumers, it also resulted in concern about inflation.
First Positive Reading Since Beginning of Crisis
While the credit outlook has improved across the globe, there are differences between North America and the rest of the world, especially Europe.