Respondents to the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey point to several major concerns in forecasting continued global credit deterioration and the strong possibility for a recession by the end of the year.
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IACPM Credit Outlook Survey Strongly Forecasts Rising Corporate Defaults Globally Over the Next 12 Months; No Region Will Be Spared; Timing Remains Elusive
Respondents to the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey overwhelmingly forecast rising corporate defaults globally over the next 12 months.
Global Credit Conditions Have Started to Deteriorate But Latest IACPM Forecast Sees Even More Defaults and Wider Credit Spreads Ahead in the Face of Stubborn Inflation and Rising Interest Rates
Even as credit conditions have begun to deteriorate globally, the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey forecasts even higher defaults and wider credit spreads in the months ahead.
Global Recession Risk High As Latest IACPM Credit Outlook Forecasts Rising Defaults and Wider Credit Spreads
Members of the International Association of Credit Portfolio Managers responding to the latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey forecast rising credit defaults globally.
Latest IACPM Credit Outlook Survey Forecast Rising Defaults and Wider Credit Spreads
Increased defaults will be driven by continued expectations for higher inflation and rising interest rates as well as supply chain issues.
PRA Consultation on the Implementation of Basel Standards
The IACPM responded to the PRA Consultation on the Implementation of Basel Standards.
Will Stimulus Lead to Inflation and Higher Interest Rates?
Waves of government stimulus have stabilized corporate loan portfolios, but IACPM members voice concern about possible long-term impact of the mammoth amount of liquidity.
IACPM Responds to the Basel Committee
IACPM joined the Global Financial Markets Association, the Institute of International Finance and the Structured Finance Association to respond to the Basel Committee’s technical amendment on capital treatment of securitisations of non-performing loans.
IACPM Responds to the European Banking Authority
IACPM provided comments to the European Banking Authority on the revised guidelines for significant risk transfer (SRT) under the CRR. The EBA had requested feedback to the December 2017 SRT published rules.
COVID-19 Regulatory Guidelines
To support its membership in these challenging times, the IACPM has compiled a reference list by jurisdiction of published COVID-19 Regulatory Guidelines relevant to the Credit Portfolio Management Function.